14th Session of CLIVAR Pacific Region Panel

Saturday, October 19, 2019 to Sunday, October 20, 2019
Event City: 
Victoria
Canada
Event Attendance: 
By invitation
Event Contact: 
Jing Li
Event Description: 

14th Session of CLIVAR Pacific Region Panel and 
CLIVAR PRP/PICES WG40 Joint Workshop on Climate and Ecosystem Predictability in the Pacific​

1. Venue
2. Preliminary Agenda
3. Participants
4. Accommodation
5. Registration

 

Venue

The meeting will take place at Victoria Convention Center, in Victoria, Canada.

Address: 720 Douglas Street, Victoria, BC V8W 3M7, Canada
Tel: 250-361-1000
Fax: 250-361-1099
Website: https://www.tourismvictoria.com/meetings/victoria-conference-centre

Meeting rooms:

  • Oct. 19 (Saturday): CLIVAR Pacific Region Panel Meeting - Colwood (level 2)
  • Oct. 20 (Sunday): CLIVAR PRP/PICES WG-40 Joint Workshop on Climate and Ecosystem Predictability in the Pacific - Upper Pavilion (level 1, glasshouse outside the building)

Preliminary Agenda

Oct. 19 (Saturday): CLIVAR Pacific Region Panel Meeting (Venue: Colwood on level 2)  Download the PRP-14 agenda

Topics:

1. Status of Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability paper, which should be very close to completion or submitted by then, and possible steps forward on that topic undertaken by the panel. 
2. Integration of low-latitude western boundary current and maritime continent observations into a unified multi-platform observing system.
3. Discussion on ENSO conceptual models.
4. ENSO metrics: Status and next steps. 
5. Way forward in exchanging with TPOS2020.
6. Possible panel activities including marine biogeochemistry.
7. Discussion of possible PRP interactions with Southern Ocean and Arctic Panels as recommended by the SSG.
8. Additional discussion items by panel members. 

Time

Topic

Speaker

 

1.Updates on panel activities

 

09:00 - 09:15 1.1 Report on ENSO Conceptual Models Jerome Vialard
09:15 - 09:30 1.2 ENSO metrics: Status and next steps Andrew
09:30 - 09:45 1.3 Update on Wiley book: ENSO in a changing climate  Mike McPhaden
09:45 - 10:00 1.4 Status of 2020 ENSO Summer School Antonietta Capotondi
10:00 - 10:30 Coffee break  
10:30 - 11:30 1.5 Western Boundary Current and ITF activities: Report and way-forward towards unified mutiplatform observing systems Xiaopei Lin/Janet Sprintall
11:30 - 12:30 1.6 Status of Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability Science Paper Mat/Antonietta 
12:30 - 14:00 Lunch  
  2. Workplan for 2020 and onward?  
14:00 - 14:15 2.1 Report on US CLIVAR Working Group workshop on ocean isotopes and possible cross-activities Samantha Stevenson
14:15 - 15:00 2.2 Way forward with TPOS2020 Matthieu/Antonietta
15:00 -15:15 2.3 Possible panel activities including marine biogeochemistry Antonietta Capotondi
15:15 - 15:30 2.4 Possible PRP interactions with Southern Ocean and Arctic Panels  
15.30-16.00 Coffee break  
16:00 - 16:30 2.5 Future involvement with ANDEX Mat/Antonietta
16:30 - 17:00 2.6 What’s next after Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability paper Mat/Antonietta
  3. Other panel businesses  
17:00 - 17:30 3.1 Membership  Mat/Antonietta
17:30 - 17:45 3.2 Next PRP meeting All
17:45 - 18:00 3.3 Panel report to SSG All
 

Oct. 20 (Sunday): CLIVAR PRP/PICES WG-40 Joint Workshop on Climate and Ecosystem Predictability in the Pacific (Venue: Oak Bay-2 on level 1)

Download the Workshop Agenda

The aim of this meeting is to synthetize our current state of knowledge on the sources of predictability arising from the large-scale climate for marine ecosystems, or their physical drivers, along the coasts of the North Pacific rim. During the meeting we aim to compare and contrast the sources of predictability on the two sides of the Pacific, identify the most effective mechanisms leading to predictability, and gain insights from research in other parts of the World Ocean. 

Time Topic Speaker
09:00-10:20

PICES WG-40 Businesss Meeting

  • Update from ICES WGS2D and collaboration possibilities
  • Update on WG40 intersessional meeting and special issue
  • Planning for sessions/workshops at PICES 2020
 
10:20-10:30 Welcome and Introduction of participants  
10:30-10:50 Motivation and development of WG-40 Emanuele Di Lorenzo
10:50-11:10 Mechanisms of predictability in the eastern North Pacific Mike Jacox
11:10-11:30 Mechanisms of predictability in the western North Pacific Shoshiro Minobe
11:30-11:50 Forecasting with Empirical Models: How important is ENSO for US West Coast warming? Antonietta Capotondi
11:50-12:10 Forecasting with Empirical Models: Toward a unified platform for assessing predictability   
along the eastern and western Pacific coastlines
Tongtong Xu
12:10-12:30 Discussion  
12:30-14:00 Lunch  
14:00 - 14:20 Forecasting with Numerical Models: Ocean and Climate Prediction Efforts in the Eastern Pacific Fangli Qiao
     
14:00-14:20 Ecosystem Forecasting with Empirical Models: Predicting annual to interannual fluctuations in
sardines and anchovies
Akinori Takasuka (remote)
14:20-14:40 Predicting interannual anomalies in biogeochemical conditions in the California Current Ryan 
Rykaczewski
14:40-15:00 AMO-induced multi-decadal variability in the tropical Pacific Ocean Xiaopei Lin
15:00-15:20 Use of Machine Learning techniques in forecasting applications: Successes in ENSO Predictions Jing-Jia Luo
15:20-15:35 Coffee Break  
15:35-15:55 The North Pacific pacemaker effect on ENSO and its mechanisms Yu Kosaka
15:55-16:15 Mechanisms of Marine Heat Waves in the Tasman Sea in the Presence of global warming Xuebin Zhang
16:15-16:35

Mechanisms driving the projected weakening of summer primary productivity of the Arabian 
Sea under climate change: New insights from CMIP5 

Matthieu Lengaigne
16:35-17:00 Discussion  


Participants

Name Affiliation Country Role
Matthieu Lengaigne LOCEAN France PRP Co-chair
Antonietta Capotondi University of Colorado USA PRP Co-chair
Xiaopei Lin Ocean University of China China PRP Member
Janet Sprintall Scripps Institution of Oceanography USA PRP Member
Xuebin Zhang CSIRO Australia PRP Member
Jerome Vialard LOCEAN France PRP Member
Yu Kosaka The University of Tokyo Japan PRP Member
Yukiko Imada Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency Japan PRP Member
Samantha Stevenson University of California at Santa Barbara USA PRP Member
Andrew Wittenberg NOAA GFDL USA PRP Member
Michael McPhaden  Chair / Tropical Moored Buoy Implementation Panel  USA PRP Ex-officio
Jing Li (TBC) International CLIVAR Project Office (ICPO)  China ICPO Staff

 

Accommodations

There are several hotels that are offfering special rate for the 2019 PICES Annual Meeting, for more details please refer to https://meetings.pices.int/meetings/annual/2019/pices/accommodation

 

Registration

Participants who are going to participate both the PRP meeting and PRP-PICES WG40 joint workshop need to register for the 2019 PICES annual meeting via https://meetings.pices.int/meetings/annual/2019/pices/registration